PredictionBook

PredictionBook is a website created by Tricycle Developments to allow users to record predictions with specific end dates. Confidence is measured and used in statistics & graphs showing each user's prediction history.

PB has >3100 predictions recorded, and >424 predictions maturing in the next 2 years.

Less Wrong users

These Less Wrong users have accounts at PredictionBook:

• Jack
• Eliezer_Yudkowsy
• Emile
• matt
• MBlume
• Morendil
• MrHen
• RobinHanson
• rwallace
• gwern

External links

• PredictionBook.com - Official website

Blog posts

• PredictionBook.com - Track your calibration

See also

• Rationality power tools, Debate tools