Difference between revisions of "Aumann's agreement theorem"

From Lesswrongwiki
Jump to: navigation, search
(Tags)
m (Reverted edits by Xadmin (talk) to last revision by Tyrrell McAllister)
Line 41: Line 41:
 
*{{lesswrongtag|aumann|majoritarianism|disagreement|modesty}}
 
*{{lesswrongtag|aumann|majoritarianism|disagreement|modesty}}
 
*[http://www.overcomingbias.com/tag/disagreement Overcoming Bias posts on "Disagreement"]
 
*[http://www.overcomingbias.com/tag/disagreement Overcoming Bias posts on "Disagreement"]
* [http://www.gadgetsdotcom.com Gadgets]
 
* [http://www.blognesian.com blog ]
 
  
 
[[Category:Theorems]]
 
[[Category:Theorems]]

Revision as of 00:37, 4 September 2011

Smallwikipedialogo.png
Wikipedia has an article about

Aumann's agreement theorem, roughly speaking, says that two agents acting rationally (in a certain precise sense) and with common knowledge of each other's beliefs cannot agree to disagree. More specifically, if two people are genuine Bayesians, share common priors, and have common knowledge of each other's current probability assignments, then they must have equal probability assignments.

Blog posts

See also

References

  • Robert J. Aumann (1976). "Agreeing to Disagree". The Annals of Statistics 4 (6): 1236-1239. ISSN 00905364.  (PDF)
  • Tyler Cowen and Robin Hanson (2004). Are Disagreements Honest?.  (PDF, Talk video)

Tags