Difference between revisions of "Belief update"

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What you do to your beliefs, opinions and cognitive structure when new information comes along.
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What you do to your beliefs, opinions and cognitive structure when new [[evidence]] comes along.
  
 
[[Cox's theorem]] says, roughly, that if your beliefs at any given time take the form of an assignment of a numerical "plausibility score" to every proposition, and if they satisfy a few plausible axioms, then your plausibilities must effectively be probabilities obeying the usual laws of probability theory, and your updating procedure must be the one implied by [[Bayes' theorem]].
 
[[Cox's theorem]] says, roughly, that if your beliefs at any given time take the form of an assignment of a numerical "plausibility score" to every proposition, and if they satisfy a few plausible axioms, then your plausibilities must effectively be probabilities obeying the usual laws of probability theory, and your updating procedure must be the one implied by [[Bayes' theorem]].
  
==See Also==
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==See also==
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* [[Belief]]
 
* [[Belief in belief]]
 
* [[Beliefs require observations]]
 
* [[Free-floating belief]]
 
 
 
==References==
 
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=====Footnotes=====
 
<references/>
 
 
 
=====Overcoming Bias Articles=====
 
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=====Less Wrong Articles=====
 
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=====Other Resources=====
 
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*[[Evidence]]
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*[[Belief]]
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*[[Beliefs require observations]]
  
 
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[[Category:Jargon]]
 
[[Category:Jargon]]
 
[[Category:Concepts]]
 
[[Category:Concepts]]

Revision as of 21:53, 25 June 2009

What you do to your beliefs, opinions and cognitive structure when new evidence comes along.

Cox's theorem says, roughly, that if your beliefs at any given time take the form of an assignment of a numerical "plausibility score" to every proposition, and if they satisfy a few plausible axioms, then your plausibilities must effectively be probabilities obeying the usual laws of probability theory, and your updating procedure must be the one implied by Bayes' theorem.

See also