Difference between revisions of "Black swan"

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A Black swan is an event that is hard to predict and has enormous impact.  Also, an event that is not accounted for in a model, and therefore causes the model to breakdown when it occurs.
 
 
{{wikilink|Black swan theory}}
 
{{wikilink|Black swan theory}}
  
==References==
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A '''black swan''' is an event that is hard to predict and has enormous impact.  Also, an event that is not accounted for in a model, and therefore causes the model to break down when it occurs.
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==Blog posts==
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*[http://lesswrong.com/lw/hy/riskfree_bonds_arent/ Risk-Free Bonds Aren't] by [[Eliezer Yudkowsky]]
  
=====Overcoming Bias Articles=====
 
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*[http://www.overcomingbias.com/2007/06/risk-free-bonds.html Risk-Free Bonds Aren't] by [[Eliezer Yudkowsky]]
 
 
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[[Category:Concepts]]

Revision as of 10:19, 24 June 2009

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A black swan is an event that is hard to predict and has enormous impact. Also, an event that is not accounted for in a model, and therefore causes the model to break down when it occurs.

Blog posts