Complexity of value
Complexity of value is the thesis that human values have high Kolmogorov complexity; that our preferences, the things we care about, cannot be summed by a few simple rules, or compressed. Fragility of value is the thesis that losing even a small part of the rules that make up our values could lead to results that most of us would now consider as unacceptable. For example, modeling almost all of our values correctly but failing to incorporate boredom might build a future full of individuals stuck replaying only one optimal experience through all eternity.
These are both often underestimated difficulties in designing a valuable future. These concepts have a strong connection since the complexity of values makes them more fragile to small changes, because there are many more variables and correlations that can change their entire structure. An easy to compress set of values can be the result of many different algorithms; hence there are fewer variations which lead to a crucial modification. A complex and incompressible set of values may have only one way of describing it, and any tiny modification would result in a very different set.
Many human choices can be compressed, by representing them by simple rules - the desire to survive produces innumerable actions and subgoals as we fulfill that desire. But people don't just want to survive - although you can compress many human activities to that desire, you cannot compress all of human existence into it. The human equivalents of a utility function, our terminal values, contain many different elements that are not strictly reducible to one another. William Frankena offered this list of things which many cultures and people seem to value (for their own sake rather than strictly for their external consequences):
- "Life, consciousness, and activity; health and strength; pleasures and satisfactions of all or certain kinds; happiness, beatitude, contentment, etc.; truth; knowledge and true opinions of various kinds, understanding, wisdom; beauty, harmony, proportion in objects contemplated; aesthetic experience; morally good dispositions or virtues; mutual affection, love, friendship, cooperation; just distribution of goods and evils; harmony and proportion in one's own life; power and experiences of achievement; self-expression; freedom; peace, security; adventure and novelty; and good reputation, honor, esteem, etc."
There are many reasons for this higher complexity and fragility. They were the product of innumerous contingent and accidental events with a great deal of random process involved: natural evolution, local optimals, the topography of design and value space, earth local conditions, human history, memetic evolution, etc. Since the human mind often search for nice, simply, efficient and neat causal explanations, it's hard to correctly emulate the random and chaotic process involved in the creations of our values. Since most of these values aren't evolutionary adapted to our environment anymore, it’s hard to predict their consequences. Since most of our desires are unconsciousness evolutionary instrumental subgoals for reproduction but we experience it as first-person decontextualized unconditional emotions , it is hard to correctly infer their hierarchical and functional organization. Since in the first person mess of experiencing our values we can't distinguish between values that are ends and values that are means, we can't pick out the most important and fundamental values from the accidental ones. More importantly, since we are the only intelligent value-realizators we know, we can't access how improbable our values are in the vast possible value space; and we can't understand how a very minor change in some of them would bring the entire human-value card-castle down. These are only some of the difficulties that a single researcher could think of in a short limited time, with no previous research by others to depart from.
We tend to anthromorphize the future while failing to realize it will only contain what we value if we actively take actions for this improbable state to exist. Because the human brain very often fails to grasp all these difficulties involving our values, we tend to think building an awesome future is much less problematic than it really is. It already was extremely improbable to have our specific set of values instead of one of the other possible infinite permutations on the set of all possible values; to improve over those values while trying to maintain them is an even more improbable step.
Fragility of value is relevant for building Friendly AI, because an AGI which does not respect human values would attempt to create a world that we would consider undesirable. As values are orthogonal with intelligence, they can freely vary no matter how intelligent and efficient an AGI is . There aren't any specific reasons to think a superintelligent AGI would favor human values over any other set of possible values. And there are strong reasons to think a random AGI would not realize human values, since it is much more probable to pick one of the other sets from the rest of all other possible values than the specific set of human-values. A poorly constrained AGI seeking to maximize the utility experienced by humanity might turn us into blobs of perpetual orgasm. A world with immortality designed without fun theory might find its citizens modifying themselves as to find utterly engrossing a pursuit such as making table legs. Becouse of this relevance the complexity and fragility of value is a major theme of Eliezer Yudkowsky's writings.
Most of human morality and values and its intricate complexity has yet to be mapped by psychology and philosophy. Wrongly designing the future because we wrongly grasped human values is a serious and difficult to access type of Existential risk. Once a future void of the correct human values comes about, there is no come back: “Touch too hard in the wrong dimension, and the physical representation of those values will shatter - and not come back, for there will be nothing left to want to bring it back. And the referent of those values - a worthwhile universe - would no longer have any physical reason to come into being. Let go of the steering wheel, and the Future crashes.” 
- The Fun Theory Sequence describes some of the many complex considerations that determine what sort of happiness we most prefer to have - given that many of us would decline to just have an electrode planted in our pleasure centers.
- Thou Art Godshatter describes the evolutionary psychology behind the complexity of human values - how they got to be complex, and why, given that origin, there is no reason in hindsight to expect them to be simple. We certainly are not built to maximize genetic fitness.
- Not for the Sake of Happiness (Alone) tackles the Hollywood Rationality trope that "rational" preferences must reduce to selfish hedonism - caring strictly about personally experienced pleasure. An ideal Bayesian agent - implementing strict Bayesian decision theory - can have a utility function that ranges over anything, not just internal subjective experiences.
- Fake Utility Functions describes the seeming fascination that many have with trying to compress morality down to a single principle. The sequence leading up to this post tries to explain the cognitive twists whereby people smuggle all of their complicated other preferences into their choice of exactly which acts they try to justify using their single principle; but if they were really following only that single principle, they would choose other acts to justify.
- Value is Fragile
- The Hidden Complexity of Wishes
- Fake Morality
- Welcome to Heaven by denisbider
- Complexity of Value ≠ Complexity of Outcome by Wei Dai
- Not for the Sake of Pleasure Alone by lukeprog