Difference between revisions of "Disagreement"

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[[Aumann's agreement theorem]] can be informally interpreted as suggesting that if two people are honest seekers of truth, and both ''believe'' each other to be honest, then they can update on each other's opinions and quickly (in one step) reach agreement. The very fact that a person believes something is [[Rational evidence]] that that something is true, and so this fact [http://www.overcomingbias.com/2007/01/extraordinary_c.html should be taken into account] when forming your belief.  
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[[Aumann's agreement theorem]] can be [[Aumann agreement|informally interpreted]] as suggesting that if two people are honest seekers of truth, and both ''believe'' each other to be honest, then they should update on each other's opinions and quickly (in one step) reach agreement. The very fact that a person believes something is [[Rational evidence]] that that something is true, and so this fact [http://www.overcomingbias.com/2007/01/extraordinary_c.html should be taken into account] when forming your belief.
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Outside of well-functioning [[prediction market]]s, Aumann agreement can probably only be approximated by careful [[deliberation|deliberative discourse]].  Thus, fostering effective deliberation should be seen as a key goal of [[Less Wrong]].
  
 
==See also==
 
==See also==

Revision as of 11:56, 28 September 2009

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Aumann's agreement theorem can be informally interpreted as suggesting that if two people are honest seekers of truth, and both believe each other to be honest, then they should update on each other's opinions and quickly (in one step) reach agreement. The very fact that a person believes something is Rational evidence that that something is true, and so this fact should be taken into account when forming your belief.

Outside of well-functioning prediction markets, Aumann agreement can probably only be approximated by careful deliberative discourse. Thus, fostering effective deliberation should be seen as a key goal of Less Wrong.

See also

Blog posts

All Less Wrong posts tagged "Disagreement"

References