Difference between revisions of "Extraordinary evidence"

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{{arbitallink|https://arbital.com/p/bayes_extraordinary_claims/|Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence}}

Latest revision as of 05:25, 28 August 2016

Extraordinary evidence is evidence that turns an a priori highly unlikely event into an a posteriori likely event.

Blog posts

See also


  • Robin Hanson (2007). When Do Extraordinary Claims Give Extraordinary Evidence?.  (PDF)