Ignorance prior

From Lesswrongwiki
Revision as of 23:41, 16 January 2011 by Vladimir Nesov (talk | contribs) (link to wikipedia article)
(diff) ← Older revision | Latest revision (diff) | Newer revision → (diff)
Jump to: navigation, search
Wikipedia has an article about

An ignorance prior is a prior probability distribution where equal probability is assigned to all possibilities. For instance, at the beginning of a Monty Hall game, the player has no information about which of the three doors has the car behind it. Thus they should assign 1/3 probability to each.