Less Wrong/2007 Articles/Summaries

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Some Claims Are Just Too Extraordinary

Outside the Laboratory

Politics is the Mind-Killer

Just Lose Hope Already

You Are Not Hiring the Top 1%

Policy Debates Should Not Appear One-Sided

Burch's Law

The Scales of Justice, the Notebook of Rationality

Blue or Green on Regulation?

Superstimuli and the Collapse of Western Civilization

Useless Medical Disclaimers

Archimedes's Chronophone

Chronophone Motivations

Self-deception: Hypocrisy or Akrasia?

Tsuyoku Naritai! (I Want To Become Stronger)

Tsuyoku vs. the Egalitarian Instinct

"Statistical Bias"

Useful Statistical Biases

The Error of Crowds

The Majority Is Always Wrong

Knowing About Biases Can Hurt People

Debiasing as Non-Self-Destruction

"Inductive Bias"

Suggested Posts

Futuristic Predictions as Consumable Goods

Marginally Zero-Sum Efforts

Priors as Mathematical Objects

Lotteries: A Waste of Hope

New Improved Lottery

Your Rationality is My Business

Consolidated Nature of Morality Thread

Feeling Rational

Universal Fire

Universal Law

Think Like Reality

Beware the Unsurprised

The Third Alternative

Third Alternatives for Afterlife-ism

Scope Insensitivity

One Life Against the World

Risk-Free Bonds Aren't

Correspondence Bias

Are Your Enemies Innately Evil?

Open Thread

Two More Things to Unlearn from School

Making Beliefs Pay Rent (in Anticipated Experiences)

Belief in Belief

Bayesian Judo

Professing and Cheering

Belief as Attire

Religion's Claim to be Non-Disprovable

The Importance of Saying "Oops"

Focus Your Uncertainty

The Proper Use of Doubt

The Virtue of Narrowness

You Can Face Reality

The Apocalypse Bet

Your Strength as a Rationalist

I Defy the Data!

Absence of Evidence Is Evidence of Absence

Conservation of Expected Evidence

Update Yourself Incrementally

One Argument Against An Army

Hindsight bias

Hindsight Devalues Science

Scientific Evidence, Legal Evidence, Rational Evidence

Is Molecular Nanotechnology "Scientific"?

Fake Explanations

Guessing the Teacher's Password

Science as Attire

Fake Causality

Semantic Stopsigns

Mysterious Answers to Mysterious Questions

The Futility of Emergence

Positive Bias: Look Into the Dark

Say Not "Complexity"

My Wild and Reckless Youth

Failing to Learn from History

Making History Available

Stranger Than History


"Science" as Curiosity-Stopper

Absurdity Heuristic, Absurdity Bias


Why is the Future So Absurd?

Anchoring and Adjustment

The Crackpot Offer

Radical Honesty

We Don't Really Want Your Participation

Applause Lights

Rationality and the English Language

Human Evil and Muddled Thinking

Doublethink (Choosing to be Biased)

Why I'm Blooking

Planning Fallacy

Kahneman's Planning Anecdote

Conjunction Fallacy

Conjunction Controversy (Or, How They Nail It Down)

Burdensome Details

What is Evidence?

The Lens That Sees Its Flaws

How Much Evidence Does It Take?

Einstein's Arrogance

Occam's Razor

9/26 is Petrov Day

How to Convince Me That 2 + 2 = 3

The Bottom Line

What Evidence Filtered Evidence?


Recommended Rationalist Reading

A Rational Argument

We Change Our Minds Less Often Than We Think

Avoiding Your Belief's Real Weak Points

The Meditation on Curiosity


No One Can Exempt You From Rationality's Laws

A Priori

Priming and Contamination

Do We Believe Everything We're Told?

Cached Thoughts

The "Outside the Box" Box

Original Seeing

How to Seem (and Be) Deep

The Logical Fallacy of Generalization from Fictional Evidence

Hold Off On Proposing Solutions

"Can't Say No" Spending

Congratulations to Paris Hilton

Pascal's Mugging: Tiny Probabilities of Vast Utilities

Illusion of Transparency: Why No One Understands You


Expecting Short Inferential Distances

Explainers Shoot High. Aim Low!

Double Illusion of Transparency

No One Knows What Science Doesn't Know

Why Are Individual IQ Differences OK?

Bay Area Bayesians Unite!

Motivated Stopping and Motivated Continuation

Torture vs. Dust Specks

A Case Study of Motivated Continuation

A Terrifying Halloween Costume

Fake Justification

An Alien God

The Wonder of Evolution

Evolutions Are Stupid (But Work Anyway)

Natural Selection's Speed Limit and Complexity Bound

Beware of Stephen J. Gould

The Tragedy of Group Selectionism

Fake Selfishness

Fake Morality

Fake Optimization Criteria

Adaptation-Executers, not Fitness-Maximizers

Evolutionary Psychology

Protein Reinforcement and DNA Consequentialism

Thou Art Godshatter

Terminal Values and Instrumental Values

Evolving to Extinction

No Evolutions for Corporations or Nanodevices

The Simple Math of Everything

Conjuring An Evolution To Serve You

Artificial Addition

Truly Part Of You

Not for the Sake of Happiness (Alone)

Leaky Generalizations

The Hidden Complexity of Wishes

Lost Purposes

Purpose and Pragmatism

The Affect Heuristic

Evaluability (And Cheap Holiday Shopping)

Unbounded Scales, Huge Jury Awards, & Futurism

The Halo Effect

Superhero Bias

Mere Messiahs

Affective Death Spirals

Resist the Happy Death Spiral

Uncritical Supercriticality

Fake Fake Utility Functions

Fake Utility Functions

Evaporative Cooling of Group Beliefs

When None Dare Urge Restraint

The Robbers Cave Experiment

Misc Meta

Every Cause Wants To Be A Cult

Reversed Stupidity Is Not Intelligence

Argument Screens Off Authority

Hug the Query

Guardians of the Truth

Guardians of the Gene Pool

Guardians of Ayn Rand

The Litany Against Gurus

Politics and Awful Art

Two Cult Koans

False Laughter

Effortless Technique

Zen and the Art of Rationality

The Amazing Virgin Pregnancy

Asch's Conformity Experiment

On Expressing Your Concerns

Lonely Dissent

To Lead, You Must Stand Up

Cultish Countercultishness

My Strange Beliefs