Moore's law

From Lesswrongwiki
Revision as of 03:52, 12 July 2012 by TerminalAwareness (talk | contribs) (Generalized the article for better flow and to reflect the purpose of this wiki)
Jump to: navigation, search
Wikipedia has an article about

Moore's Law is a term attributed to Intel founder Gordon Moore who observed in 1965 that the number of transistors that could be purchased inexpensively and placed on an integrated circuit doubles every year, which he revised in 1975 to be every two years. It is often discussed as a doubling every 18 months, but that is a separate claim by David House, Intel executive, of overall chip performance. Moore's Law has been approximately correct for four decades.

Though current CMOS technology is predicted to be nonviable below a certain size, many other technologies offer the potential for far greater miniaturization. This may delay Moore's law while new technologies are developed to the degree CMOS technology is. The end of Moore's Law has often been falsely predicted in the past but continues to be a popular topic for speculation.

Moore's law is often cited as a reason to expect the creation of an AGI in the future, and is crucial for the possibility of whole brain emulation.