Difference between revisions of "Rational evidence"

Revision as of 05:39, 13 June 2009

Rational evidence, as distinguished from scientific evidence or legal evidence, is any observation that can be used to update your beliefs.

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-Rational evidence for a given theory is the observation of an event that is more likely to occur if the theory is true than if it is false. (The event would be rational evidence against the theory if it is less likely if the theory is true.)
+'''Rational evidence''', as distinguished from scientific evidence or legal evidence, is any observation that can be used to [[update]] your beliefs.
-The likelihood ratio term <math>\frac{P(B | A)}{P(B|\neg A)}</math> from [[Bayes' theorem]] is greater than 1 if the event B is evidence of the theory A, and less than 1 if the event is evidence against the theory.
+==See also==
-==See also==
 *[[Evidence]]
 ==Blog posts==
+*[http://lesswrong.com/lw/in/scientific_evidence_legal_evidence_rational/ Scientific Evidence, Legal Evidence, Rational Evidence] by [[Eliezer Yudkowsky]]
 *[http://lesswrong.com/lw/if/your_strength_as_a_rationalist/ Your Strength as a Rationalist] by [[Eliezer Yudkowsky]]
-*[http://lesswrong.com/lw/in/scientific_evidence_legal_evidence_rational/ Scientific Evidence, Legal Evidence, Rational Evidence] by [[Eliezer Yudkowsky]]