Rationalist Diplomacy, Game 2

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The second game of Diplomacy on Less Wrong. The game itself is here. All maps can be found here.

Players

Kevin was Prime Minister of Great Britain

AlexMennen was President of France

tenshiko was Kaiser of Germany

Alexandros was King of Italy

WrongBot was Emperor of Austria

Thausler was Czar of Russia

Hugh Ristik was Sultan of Turkey

Randaly was the GM

Spring 1901

Order Results

Austria:

Austria: A bud -> ser

Austria: F tri -> alb

Austria: A vie -> gal

England:

England: F edi -> nwg

England: A lvp -> yor

England: F lon -> nth

France:

France: F bre -> mao

France: A mar -> bur Bounced with mun (1 against 1).

France: A par -> gas

Germany:

Germany: A ber -> kie

Germany: F kie -> hol

Germany: A mun -> bur Bounced with mar (1 against 1).

Italy:

Italy: F nap -> ion

Italy: A rom -> ven

Italy: A ven -> tyr

Russia:

Russia: A mos -> stp

Russia: F sev -> bla Bounced with ank (1 against 1).

Russia: F stp/sc -> bot

Russia: A war -> ukr

Turkey:

Turkey: F ank -> bla Bounced with sev (1 against 1).

Turkey: A con -> bul

Turkey: A smy -> con

Commentary

Turkish Military Advance Checked in Black Sea

Earlier this month, Sultan HughRistik, announced a broad movement of Turkish troops into the Balkans, vowing to avenge previous Turkish defeats in the First Balkans War and restore Turkey to its traditional dominant role. As a result of the balkanization of the Balkans League in the Second Balkans War, Ottoman forces encountered shockingly little resistance on land; however, the Russian fleet blocked the advance of the Ottoman fleet into the Black Sea.

Schlieffen Plan Implemented

In a move anticipated by every other European monarch, Germany invaded France in March. Though its initial strike towards Burgundy was blocked by French troops based out of Marseilles, German military leaders are privately confident that the northern prong of their assault, currently outflanking the French defenses through the Netherlands, will achieve greater success.

English, Russian Forces Approach Scandinavia

Both the English and Russian militaries have mobilized their fleets and militaries, moving them towards Scandinavia. The Russian fleet has entered the Gulf of Bothnia, while elements of the British fleet have occupied the North and Norwegian Seas.

Italian Forces Advance Into Tyrolia

The Italian army recently advanced into Tyrolia, putting it in a position to threaten the rears of both Austria and Germany. Austrian advances into the Balkans and Galicia have left its homeland undefended, while German forces in Munich have already been deployed unsuccessfully against Burgundy.

Fall 1901

Order Results

Austria:

Supply centers were gained. Units that may be built: 1.

Austria: F alb -> tri

Bounced with ven (1 against 1).

Austria: A gal -> war

Austria: A ser -> rum

Bounced with ukr (1 against 1).

England:

Supply centers were gained. Units that may be built: 2.

England: F nth Convoys A yor -> hol

England: F nwg -> nwy

England: A yor -> hol

Convoy path taken: yor→nth→hol.

France:

Supply centers were gained. Units that may be built: 2.

France: A gas -> por

Convoy path taken: gas→mao→por.

France: A mar -> spa

France: F mao Convoys A gas -> por

Germany:

Supply centers were gained. Units that may be built: 2.

Germany: F hol -> bel

Germany: A kie -> den

Germany: A mun -> ruh

Italy:

Supply centers were gained. Units that may be built: 2.

Italy: F ion -> tun

Italy: A tyr Supports A ven -> tri

Italy: A ven -> tri

Russia:

Supply centers were gained. Units that may be built: 1.

Russia: F bot -> swe

Russia: F sev Supports A ukr -> rum

Russia: A stp -> lvn

Russia: A ukr -> rum

Turkey:

Supply centers were gained. Units that may be built: 2.

Turkey: F ank -> bla

Turkey: A bul -> gre

Turkey: A con -> bul

Commentary

Italy Invades Austrian Homeland

Earlier this month, Italian forces based out of Venice and supported from Tyrolia invaded and captured Trieste, seizing one of Austria's main production provinces, and placing its forces within striking distance of the currently undefended provinces of Vienna and Budapest. Though Italian forces are well supported, Austrian officials are privately confident that Vienna and Budapest will be defended and Trieste recaptured; when asked how, one official responded cryptically, "We have forces there. You just can't see them. Yet."

England Seizes Foothold on the Continent

English troops stormed ashore in Holland last month, threatening the rear of the advancing German fleet currently in Belgium, as well as presenting a potent threat to the German naval base at Kiel. Prime Minister Kevin vowed to defend England's interests, including Belgian neutrality and the continued survival of its allies.

Austria Strikes Undefended Russian Flank

Columns of Austrian troops entered Warsaw in October, taking advantage of the occupation of Russian forces in the south to seize one of Russia's main production provinces. The citizens of Warsaw have met the initial conquest with overwhelming approval, although the approval is now diminishing under the continued occupation, as well as the threat posed by advancing Russian forces in Livonia.

Contact Made With Alternate Universe

A delegation of properly credentialed diplomats recently emerged from a mysterious portal, claiming to be from an alternate universe. Governments are currently investigating how their supposedly classified protocols were leaked to this unknown organization.

Winter 1901

Austria:

Austria: Builds A bud

England:

England: Builds A edi

England: Builds F lon

France:

France: Builds A mar

France: Builds A par

Germany:

Germany: Builds F kie

Germany: Builds A mun

Italy:

Italy: Builds F nap

Italy: Builds A ven

Russia:

Russia: Builds A mos

Turkey:

Turkey: Builds A con

Turkey: Builds F smy

Spring 1902

Orders Results

Austria:

The Army in Serbia cannot retreat; unit destroyed.

Austria: F alb -> tri Bounced with tri (1 against 2).

Austria: A bud Supports A ser Support cut by Move from Rumania.

Austria: A ser Supports F alb -> tri Support cut by Move from Greece. Dislodged from gre (2 against 1).

Austria: A war Holds

England:

England: A edi -> yor

England: A hol Holds

England: F lon -> eng

England: F nth Supports A hol

England: F nwy -> ska

France:

France: A mar -> bur Bounced with mun (1 against 1).

France: F mao Convoys A por -> bre

France: A par -> pic Bounced with bel (1 against 1).

France: A por -> bre

Convoy path taken: por→mao→bre.

France: A spa -> gas

Germany:

Germany: F bel -> pic Bounced with par (1 against 1).

Germany: A den -> kie Failed because Germany: F kie -> hol failed.

Germany: F kie -> hol Bounced with hol (2 against 2).

Germany: A mun -> bur Bounced with mar (1 against 1).

Germany: A ruh Supports F kie -> hol

Italy:

Italy: F nap -> apu

Italy: A tri Supports A bud Support cut by Move from Albania.

Italy: F tun -> ion

Italy: A tyr -> vie

Italy: A ven Supports A tri

Russia:

Russia: A lvn -> war Bounced with war (1 against 1).

Russia: A mos Holds

Russia: A rum -> bud Bounced with bud (1 against 1).

Russia: F sev -> bla Bounced with bla (1 against 1).

Russia: F swe Holds

Turkey:

Turkey: F bla Supports A bul Support cut by Move from Sevastopol.

Turkey: A bul Supports A gre -> ser

Turkey: A con Supports A bul

Turkey: A gre -> ser

Turkey: F smy -> aeg

Commentary

British, German Fleets Clash

Earlier this month, the German High Seas Fleet left port for Netherlands. Supported by several divisions of infantry, the fleet was intended to dislodge and annihilate entrenched British troops; however, elements of the British Grand Fleet intercepted the High Seas Fleet. After an inconclusive hour-long exchange of gunfire, the High Seas Fleet retreated to its bases in Kiel, allowing the British forces in the Netherlands to continue holding their precarious foothold on the continent.

Italy; Ottoman Empire Continue Assault on Austrian Homeland

Beleaguered Austrian armies lost two more provinces, Serbia and Vienna, to advancing Italian and Ottoman armies. While surviving Austro-Hungarian officials continue to issue confident press releases from their new capital of Budapest, most analysts say that situation is grim for Emperor WrongBot. "The loss of Vienna, the capital and a key supply province for the war effort, is particularly going to hurt," says analyst Alex Richard.

France Repulses Abortive German Offensive

After nearly a year of preparations, German forces continued once again attacked France in May. Moving from the Ruhr and Munich into Picardy and Burgundy, they met with initial success. However, President AlexMennen soon was able to commit reserves rushed northwards from the Iberian peninsula to the fight; German gains crept to a halt, and they were soon being pushed back out of French territory. French officials are confident that their reserves will be enough to halt any future German attacks, and to go on the offensive; French soldiers were less pleased.

Fall 1902

Order Results

Austria:

The Army in Budapest cannot retreat; unit destroyed.

The Fleet in Albania cannot retreat; unit destroyed.

Austria: F alb -> tri Bounced with ven (1 against 1). Dislodged from ion (2 against 1).

Austria: A bud Supports F alb -> tri Dislodged from tri (2 against 1).

Austria: A war -> gal

England:

England: F eng Supports A hol -> bel

England: A hol -> bel

England: F nth Supports F ska -> den

England: F ska -> den

England: A yor Holds

France:

France: A bre Supports A par -> pic

France: A gas Supports A mar -> bur

France: A mar -> bur Bounced with mun (2 against 1).

France: F mao Holds

France: A par -> pic

Germany:

The Fleet in Belgium cannot retreat; unit destroyed.

Germany: F bel Supports F kie -> hol Dislodged from hol (2 against 1).

Germany: A den -> kie

Germany: F kie -> hol

Germany: A mun -> bur Bounced with mar (2 against 1).

Germany: A ruh Supports A mun -> bur

Italy:

Italy: F apu -> adr

Italy: F ion -> alb

Italy: A tri -> bud

Italy: A ven -> tri Bounced with alb (1 against 1).

Italy: A vie Supports A tri -> bud

Russia:

Russia: A lvn -> war

Russia: A mos Supports A lvn -> war

Russia: A rum Holds

Russia: F sev Supports F bla -> rum Support failed. Supported unit's order does not match support given.

Russia: F swe Holds

Turkey:

Turkey: F aeg -> ion

Turkey: F bla Supports A con -> bul

Turkey: A bul -> gre

Turkey: A con -> bul

Turkey: A ser Supports F ion -> alb

Commentary

Last Austro-Hungarian Provinces Fall

Earlier this month Italian forces from Trieste captured Budapest, the last of Austria-Hungary's supply provinces. Count Franz Conrad von Hötzendorf, the Chief the General Staff of the Austrian army, formally surrendered the surrounded Austrian forces, while Emperor WrongBot attempted to make his way through enemy lines to the remnants of his northern army, currently regrouping in Galicia. With the voluntary withdrawal of Austrian forces from Warsaw, just ahead of advancing Russian armies, Austria is left without any industrial capacity to support its sole remaining army, and is expected to fully surrender shortly.

English Forces Liberate Belgium; Denmark

While the majority of German forces were occupied with assaults on the Netherlands and France, English forces launched amphibious attacks on both Belgium and Denmark. Both attacks, taking advantage of the distraction of advancing German forces, were successful; meanwhile, the German army seized the Netherlands, but continue to fail to gain entry into France. In a speech earlier this week, Prime Minister Kevin announced that, though Belgium had been liberated and its original war aims had been achieved, "they would not rest until the specter of German aggression no longer threatens our terri on the Continent." Analysts were unclear what interests he was referring to.

Winter 1902

Austria:

Army at Galicia ordered to Disband. Austria no longer controls any supply centers, and has been eliminated. Not enough Disband orders were submitted. Units farthest from home supply center will be disbanded. Austria: Removes A gal

England: England: Builds F edi

France:

Germany:

Italy: Italy: Builds F nap Italy: Builds F rom

Russia: Russia: Builds A stp

Turkey: Turkey: Builds F smy

Spring 1903

Orders

England: Illegal order for unit at Edinburgh. Hold order assigned.

England: A bel Supports A ruh -> bur Support failed. Supported unit's order does not match support given.

England: F den -> swe Bounced with swe (1 against 1).

England: F edi Holds

England: F eng -> pic Bounced with pic (1 against 1).

England: F nth -> nwy Bounced with stp (1 against 1).

England: A yor -> wal

France:

France: A bre Holds

France: A gas Supports A mar -> bur

France: A mar -> bur Bounced with mun (2 against 1).

France: F mao Holds

France: A pic Supports A mar -> bur Support cut by Move from English Channel.

Germany:

Germany: F hol -> kie Failed because Germany: A kie -> mun failed.

Germany: A kie -> mun Failed because Germany: A mun -> bur failed.

Germany: A mun -> bur Bounced with mar (2 against 1).

Germany: A ruh Supports A mun -> bur

Italy:

Italy: F adr -> ion Bounced with ion (1 against 1).

Italy: F alb -> gre

Italy: A bud -> ser

Italy: F nap Supports F rom -> tys

Italy: F rom -> tys

Italy: A ven Supports A vie -> tri

Italy: A vie -> tri

Russia:

Russia: A mos Holds

Russia: A rum Supports A bud -> ser Support cut by Move from Black Sea.

Russia: F sev Supports A rum

Russia: A stp -> nwy Bounced with nth (1 against 1).

Russia: F swe Holds

Russia: A war -> ukr

Turkey:

Turkey: F bla -> rum Bounced with rum (1 against 1).

Turkey: A bul -> rum Bounced with rum (1 against 1).

Turkey: A gre -> apu Convoy path taken: gre→ion→apu.

Turkey: F ion Convoys A gre -> apu

Turkey: A ser -> alb

Turkey: F smy -> aeg

Commentary

Indecisive Battles in the Balkans Are Indecisive

Despite their overwhelming numbers, the Russo-Italian alliance is temporarily stalemated by Turkey, while both sides are moving up reinforcements. An Italian advance from Budapest to Serbia failed after supporting units from Rumania were forced to stay behind to fend of a Turkish assault. The Turkish fleet in the Ionian Sea and infantry in Greece continued to bottle up the Italian navy in the Adriatic Sea and its ports in Albania. However, Turkey also failed to make any progress; it was forced to call off an attempted amphibious attack on Italy to prevent the escape of the Italian navy, while the Russia army was able to continue holding Rumania. Turkish bond prices dropped sharply following the failure of the Turkish offensives, reflecting the general belief that Turkey will eventually be worn down by the Russo-Italian alliance.

England, Russia Clash in Scandinavia

English reinforcements from the North Sea arrived just in time to block a Russian attack on Norway. The attack in March was followed closely by the advance of the Russian fleet from Sweden into Denmark; however, forewarned British forces had already moved to northern Denmark in preparation for a counterattack. The two sides fought an indecisive battle before withdrawing.

English-German Alliance Fails to Make Progress Against France

The French once again managed to repel every attack launched by the surrounding nations. French troops from Picardy fought a long artillery duel with elements of the High Seas Fleet, eventually managing to repel the main assault after grievous damage to both sides. Meanwhile, in Burgundy, a German attack from Munich was prevented due to a mistake in communication: the British Expeditionary Force expected the attack to come from the Ruhr instead of Munich, and planned accordingly. A spokesman for Prime Minister Kevin claimed that better coordination would surely lead to the fall of the Ruhr next campaigning season.

Fall 1903

Order Results:

England:

England: A bel Supports A mun -> bur

England: F den -> swe Failed because Russia: F swe -> nwy failed.

England: F edi -> nwg

England: F eng -> pic Bounced with bre (1 against 1).

England: F nth Supports A bel

England: A wal Holds

France:

France: A bre -> pic Bounced with eng (1 against 1).

France: A gas Supports A pic -> bur

France: A mar Supports A pic -> bur

France: F mao Holds

France: A pic -> bur Bounced with mun (3 against 1).

Germany:

Germany: F hol -> hel

Germany: A kie -> hol

Germany: A mun -> bur Bounced with pic (3 against 1).

Germany: A ruh Supports A mun -> bur

Italy:

The Fleet in Greece cannot retreat; unit destroyed.

Italy: F adr -> apu Failed because Turkey: A apu -> nap failed.

Italy: F gre -> ion Bounced with ion (1 against 1). Dislodged from ion (2 against 1).

Italy: F nap -> rom Bounced with ven (1 against 1).

Italy: A ser Supports A rum -> bul Support failed. Supported unit's order does not match support given.

Italy: A tri -> alb Failed because Turkey: A alb -> ser failed.

Italy: F tys -> tun

Italy: A ven -> rom Bounced with nap (1 against 1).

Russia:

Russia: A mos -> ukr

Russia: A rum -> bud

Russia: F sev -> arm Bounced with bul (1 against 1).

Russia: A stp -> nwy Bounced with swe (1 against 1).

Russia: F swe -> nwy Bounced with stp (1 against 1).

Russia: A ukr -> gal

Turkey:

Turkey: F aeg Supports F ion -> gre

Turkey: A alb -> ser Bounced with ser (1 against 1).

Turkey: A apu -> nap Failed because Italy: F nap -> rom failed.

Turkey: F bla Convoys A bul -> arm

Turkey: A bul -> arm Bounced with sev (1 against 1). Convoy path taken: bul→bla→arm.

Turkey: F ion -> gre

Commentary

No Clear Winner in Balkans Conflict

Following a season of violent conflict, each side has gained little. Turkey and Russia each attempted to outflank the other through Armenia, but as a result, both offensives failed. Meanwhile, the Russian army advanced on Italy's northern flank, capturing Budapest and threatening Vienna- but Italy managed to make up for the loss by capturing Serbia from Turkey. While Turkey didn't achieve any offensive successes against opposing supply centers, it did manage to retake Greece via a two-pronged offensive from the Aegean and Ionian Seas, and to pin down three major Italian forces on and around Italy. Analysts have mostly given up attempting to understand the three-sided war.

Stalemate on Western Front

Burgundy continues to remain uncontrolled by either alliance on the Western front; major offensives earlier this month from both sides failed to make any headway. Meanwhile, an amphibious assault by England on Picardy was repulsed by reinforcements from Brest, allowing the army currently in Picardy to participate in the fighting in Burgundy with its rear secure. At sea, the French fleet remained in the Mid-Atlanta Ocean, guarding French possessions in Spain and Portgual; England, wary of its offensive power, kept an army in Wales to deal with the threat of landings on the English coast.

Shockingly, No Progress in Scandinavia

English and Russian forces continued to clash in Scandinavia, with the fleets in Sweden and Denmark fighting a sharp but short and inconclusive battle. Meanwhile, a pair of Russian military leaders, rushing to secure the unguarded province of Norway, mistook each others forces for the enemy and opened fire. While the mistake was eventually corrected, both forces were forced to retreat by the onset of winter and the threat of a looming British fleet, as much of their supplies had been destroyed.