Simulation Argument

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The Simulation Argument is one of a number of ideas related to the Simulation Hypothesis. The important distinction between this argument and earlier simulation models has been the addition of a proposed method of engineering Simulated Reality through the use of computers and the assumption that the conscious beings themselves are simulated, rather than merely "brains in a vat". The argument also suggests that it is far more likely that we are living in a Simulation than we are not.

The concept was popularized by Nick Bostrom's paper "Are You Living in a Computer Simulation?" where he argues that one of following propositions is true: "(1) the human species is very likely to go extinct before reaching a “posthuman” stage; (2) any posthuman civilization is extremely unlikely to run a significant number of simulations of their evolutionary history (or variations thereof); (3) we are almost certainly living in a computer simulation. It follows that the belief that there is a significant chance that we will one day become posthumans who run ancestor simulations is false, unless we are currently living in a simulation."


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