Difference between revisions of "Singularity"

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These predictions are largely based on the mathematical projections of Moore’s Law which has been accurately predicting the exponential growth of computers for over 50 years. These projections allow computer scientists to estimate the dates when certain computing projects  (such as Brain Emulation) will be feasible, even if they are beyond the capabilities of today’s computers.   
 
These predictions are largely based on the mathematical projections of Moore’s Law which has been accurately predicting the exponential growth of computers for over 50 years. These projections allow computer scientists to estimate the dates when certain computing projects  (such as Brain Emulation) will be feasible, even if they are beyond the capabilities of today’s computers.   
  
Eliezer Yudkowsky has observed that the varying perspectives on the Singularity can be broadly split into three different “major schools”  -  Accelerating Change (Ray Kurzweil), the Event Horizon (Vernor Vinge), and the Intelligence Explosion (I.J. Good).
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Eliezer Yudkowsky has observed that the varying perspectives on the Singularity can be broadly split into three “major schools”  -  Accelerating Change (Ray Kurzweil), the Event Horizon (Vernor Vinge), and the Intelligence Explosion (I.J. Good).
  
 
The consequences of such an event range from Kurzweil’s largely positive predictions to Bill Joy’s existential pessimism outlined in his essay “Why the future doesn’t need us.”.
 
The consequences of such an event range from Kurzweil’s largely positive predictions to Bill Joy’s existential pessimism outlined in his essay “Why the future doesn’t need us.”.
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==Blog Post==
 
==Blog Post==
  
*[http://yudkowsky.net/singularity/schools Blog post] by Eliezer S. Yudkowky on the Singularity.
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*[http://yudkowsky.net/singularity/schools Blog post] by Eliezer S. Yudkowky on the Singularity and the Three Major Schools.
  
 
==External Links==
 
==External Links==
  
*[http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IfbOyw3CT6A Ray Kurzweil] Singularity Ted Talk by Ray Kurzweil
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*[http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IfbOyw3CT6A Singularity TED Talk] by Ray Kurzweil YouTube
 
*[http://www.wired.com/wired/archive/8.04/joy.html Why the future doesn’t need us] Bill Joy’s artcle for Wired magazine.  
 
*[http://www.wired.com/wired/archive/8.04/joy.html Why the future doesn’t need us] Bill Joy’s artcle for Wired magazine.  
 
*[http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mDhdt58ySJA Eliezer Yudkowsky] The Singularity Three Major Schools of Thought from Singularity Summit YouTube
 
*[http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mDhdt58ySJA Eliezer Yudkowsky] The Singularity Three Major Schools of Thought from Singularity Summit YouTube
*[http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LN2shXeJNz8 Bill Joy] Ted Talk “What I’m Worried about, what I’m excited about” by Bill Joy
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*[http://www-rohan.sdsu.edu/faculty/vinge/misc/singularity.html The Coming Technological Singularity] Essay by Vernor Vinge
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*[http://www.stat.vt.edu/tech_reports/2005/GoodTechReport.pdf Speculations Concerning the First Ultraintelligent Machine] by I.J. Good

Revision as of 22:27, 7 June 2012

The Singularity or Technological Singularity refers to a hypothetical future event where Artificial Intelligence vastly outperforms the abilities of the human mind. Due to the fact these Super-Intelligences are, by definition, beyond Human comprehension it becomes difficult for us to imagine how such beings would behave or how the future may unfold beyond that point. Various commentators have provided varying dates for when the Singularity will occur and the implications it would have for humanity.

These predictions are largely based on the mathematical projections of Moore’s Law which has been accurately predicting the exponential growth of computers for over 50 years. These projections allow computer scientists to estimate the dates when certain computing projects (such as Brain Emulation) will be feasible, even if they are beyond the capabilities of today’s computers.

Eliezer Yudkowsky has observed that the varying perspectives on the Singularity can be broadly split into three “major schools” - Accelerating Change (Ray Kurzweil), the Event Horizon (Vernor Vinge), and the Intelligence Explosion (I.J. Good).

The consequences of such an event range from Kurzweil’s largely positive predictions to Bill Joy’s existential pessimism outlined in his essay “Why the future doesn’t need us.”.

Blog Post

  • Blog post by Eliezer S. Yudkowky on the Singularity and the Three Major Schools.

External Links