A soft takeoff assumes that a system would require months, years or decades before it was able to self-assemble into an AGI. This would be due to either the learning algorithm being too demanding for the hardware or because the AI relied on experiencing feedback from the real-world that would have to be played out in real time.
Vernor Vinge, Hans Moravec and Ray Kurzweil have all expressed the view that “soft takeoff” is preferable to a “hard takeoff” as it would be both safer and easier to engineer a roadmap towards building an AGI.
- Can we avoid a Hard takeoff? notes from Vernor Vinge.
- Robot: Mere Machine to Transcendent Mind by Hans Moravec
- The Singularity is Near by Ray Kurzweil