Difference between revisions of "Underconfidence"

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'''Underconfidence''' is the state of being more uncertain than is justified, given your [[prior]]s and the evidence you are aware of.
 
'''Underconfidence''' is the state of being more uncertain than is justified, given your [[prior]]s and the evidence you are aware of.
  
==See Also==
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==See also==
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*[[Fallacy of gray]]
 
*[[Fallacy of gray]]
  
==References==
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==Blog posts==
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=====Footnotes=====
 
<references/>
 
 
 
=====Overcoming Bias Articles=====
 
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*[http://www.overcomingbias.com/2006/12/i_dont_know.html "I don't know"] by [[Eliezer Yudkowsky]]
 
 
 
=====Less Wrong Articles=====
 
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=====Other Resources=====
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*[http://lesswrong.com/lw/gs/i_dont_know/ "I don't know"] by [[Eliezer Yudkowsky]]
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*[http://lesswrong.com/lw/c3/the_sin_of_underconfidence/ The Sin of Underconfidence] by [[Eliezer Yudkowsky]]
  
 
{{stub}}
 
{{stub}}
 
[[Category:Biases]]
 
[[Category:Biases]]
 
[[Category:Fallacies]]
 
[[Category:Fallacies]]

Revision as of 09:39, 15 June 2009

Underconfidence is the state of being more uncertain than is justified, given your priors and the evidence you are aware of.

See also

Blog posts