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- ...ot, and it is cool, the Way opposes your fear. If the iron approaches your face, and you believe it is cool, and it is hot, the Way opposes your calm. Eval *[http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tLgNZ9aTEwc The Straw Vulcan], a talk introducing rationality, by [http://lesswrong.com/user/Julia_Galef/ Ju1 KB (221 words) - 05:08, 15 June 2023
- ...of an event, weighed by their [[probability]]. For example, when you roll a die, the expected value is (1+2+3+4+5+6)/6 = 3.5. ...hat says 3.5, this illustrates that very often, the "expected value" isn't a value you actually expect.)665 bytes (88 words) - 05:19, 15 June 2023
- ...without any risk for the bookmaker. [[Robin Hanson]] was the first to run a corporate prediction market - at Project Xanadu -, and has made several con ...at least as accurate as other institutions predicting the same events with a similar pool of participants.3 KB (378 words) - 07:00, 15 June 2023
- *[http://lesswrong.com/lw/id/you_can_face_reality/ You Can Face Reality] *[http://lesswrong.com/lw/o4/leave_a_line_of_retreat/ Leave a Line of Retreat]892 bytes (151 words) - 06:24, 15 June 2023
- ...to be unable to take any further actions (aside from some default action). A utility-maximizing agent would accept the gambit, as it results in the high ...g the Simpleton Gambit, and it accepts, it would face a very low payoff as a result of its inability to take actions in the future. Ring and Orseau (201970 bytes (156 words) - 07:26, 15 June 2023
- ...s a few facts. There is a tendency for people to take that plausibility at face value, and assign [[probability]] accordingly. This intuition is wrong, bec1 KB (173 words) - 04:53, 15 June 2023
- Imagine that you face the following pair of concurrent decisions. First examine both decisions, t ** A. sure gain of $240985 bytes (148 words) - 05:53, 14 June 2023
- ...nah being beat up is okay then, because it isn't your fault anymore. Being a heroine means your job isn't finished until you've done whatever it takes t1 KB (207 words) - 05:43, 15 June 2023
- ...entification/|Ontology identification problem}}'''Ontological crisis''' is a term coined to describe the crisis an agent, human or not, goes through whe ...nse in the face of this new configuration. The person will then experience a deep crisis and go through the psychological task of reconstructing its set2 KB (389 words) - 06:48, 15 June 2023
- ...and can rapidly bring into focus the core causes of the cherished belief. A community has formed around the use of such techniques. ...s inquisitive, and not as confrontational. Once the interviewee identifies a reason for their belief, they can then be asked how it would affect their b3 KB (477 words) - 07:33, 15 June 2023
- '''Mind-killer''' is a name given to topics (such as [[color politics|politics]]) that tend to pro It may be particularly important for Less Wrong to encourage a rational perspective with respect to these contentious topics. Nevertheles3 KB (403 words) - 06:37, 15 June 2023
- ...pings. Depending on what culture they are from, they might follow several different procedures: ...verride someone else's preferences. The person who was first to ask loses a point.4 KB (659 words) - 05:39, 15 June 2023
- ...ory anyway. Please respect this wish and don't mention the authors name in a link to this page. You are free to cite parts of this as per this Wikis lic Back to [[Dealing with a Major Personal Crisis]]10 KB (1,712 words) - 13:17, 21 January 2014
- ...he edited version of [[Original sequences#How to Actually Change Your Mind|a series of blog posts in "the Sequences"]], and covers the ultra-high-level :48. [http://lesswrong.com/lw/hl/lotteries_a_waste_of_hope/ Lotteries: A Waste of Hope]8 KB (1,278 words) - 05:45, 15 June 2023
- ...e on the website without all the information in this introduction, there's a pretty good chance that you'll be pretty lost. ...was written by a variety of authors. The term "LessWrong" is also used as a term to describe the related IRL Meetups ("LessWrong Meetups").13 KB (2,174 words) - 06:11, 15 June 2023
- ...e offer by the [[Center for Applied Rationality]] for exercises that teach a cognitive skill: An archetypal case of a good suggestion for an exercise is Andrew Critch's Bayes game, as recounted6 KB (1,006 words) - 04:42, 15 June 2023
- ...w/ajm/ai_risk_and_opportunity_a_strategic_analysis/ AI Risk & Opportunity: A Strategic Analysis]. It covers the development and evolution of ideas and c ...thoughts on the possibility of artificial, machine intelligence, becoming a risk to humanity stems from the late [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Industri7 KB (1,140 words) - 05:45, 15 June 2023
- The New York City LW community has graduated from a meetup to a tribe, grown large enough to split into subgroups, has improved the lives o ...Pi Day together, playing board games, and constructing a wire sculpture of a dragon.7 KB (1,065 words) - 21:41, 20 July 2018
- ...ll ''integrate'' their knowledge, as they see the evidence that reality is a single unified process. ...ic rituals without understanding why. In particular, it is argued that if a scientist is religious, e probably doesn't understand the foundations of sc93 KB (14,815 words) - 06:20, 15 June 2023
- ...ory anyway. Please respect this wish and don't mention the authors name in a link to this page. You are free to cite parts of this as per this Wikis lic Back to [[Dealing with a Major Personal Crisis]]12 KB (2,244 words) - 06:48, 20 January 2014